JEFF BENTON
Giants and Tim Lincecum to beat the Dodgers in Los Angeles.
Simply put, this is very cheap price to lay with the best pitcher in the National League, especially when he’s matched up against a relic like Jeff Weaver. Over his last four starts, Lincecum has allowed a total of six runs in 30 innings (1.80 ERA) with 40 strikeouts against just six walks. That includes a 9-4 victory over the Dodgers on April 29 in San Francisco, a game in which Lincecum was cruising through seven innings and leading 7-0 before relaxing in the eighth inning and giving up three runs.
Lincecum is now 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in four appearances (three starts) against the Dodgers, including 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in 10 innings pitched at Dodger Stadium. Also, the Giants are 5-2 in the right-hander’s last seven starts overall and 10-4 in his last 14 as a favorite.
Granted, San Francisco’s offense leaves a lot to be desired – it’s one of the weakest hitting teams in baseball. However, I trust that the Giants can scratch across three or four runs against Jeff Weaver. Yeah, Weaver pitched well in his first start in 18 months on Tuesday, beating the DBacks 3-1, but that was exception, not the rule. He’s still way over the hill and it’s only a matter of time before he gets lit up.
Bottom line: To get Lincecum at this price against Weaver and a Manny Ramirez-less Dodgers lineup is too good to pass up.
(based on a 1♦ to a 10♦ Rating)
3♦ SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS